The hedgehog and the fox : on unifying ecology, climate, and water
"The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing."
We can divide great thinkers and writers into two camps- hedgehogs and foxes, suggested the philosopher Isaac Berlin. Hedgehogs try to unify everything into one single idea, while foxes are extremely clever and study a great many things. To his surprise, Berlin’s essay on this distinction became very popular.
In Berlin’s eye, Dante, Plato, Lucretius, Pascal, Hegel, Dostoevsky, Nietzsche, Ibsen, Proust were to varying degrees hedgehogs; Shakespeare, Herodotus, Aristotle, Montaigne, Erasmus, Moliere, Goethe, Pushkin, Balzac, Joyce were foxes.
We can extend this scheme to great scientists.
Hawking, Tao, and Feynman are foxes. Stephen Hawking, had ways of visualizing complex situations in his head, and using this ways to tackle a number of different problems in quantum astrophysics. UCLA’s Terence Tao, is considered by many to be the world’s greatest living mathematician. He tackles problems in many disciplines, and has solved many major problems in math. Richard Feynman, was a brilliant man, who would tackle many problems across physics with his own idiosyncratic set of tools, and come up with answers in ways that seemed like magic to other physicists. He was a fox, who yearned to be a hedgehog.
Einstein, Grothendieck, and Langlands are hedgehogs. Einstein unified electromagnetism and classical physics to form relativity. Grothendieck birthed many new fields in mathematics that then made solving a whole host of problems in other fields almost solve themselves. He had a famous quote where he said that the way to open a nut, is put the nut in liquid, to let it soak, even to walk away from it, until eventually it opened. A fox would have just cracked the nut quickly. The hedgehog, by contrast, has a whole variety of nuts opening all at once. Langlands came up with a wide ranging meta-scheme to unify many areas of mathematics in the 1970s. Most mathematicians at the time had no inkling that many subdisciplines were in any way connected to other subdisciplines. In the 2020s it appears he was right on many accounts, as many of these deep connections have since been proven. (The programme is still ongoing.)
What we need now in the field of atmospheric science, ecology and hydrology are some hedgehogs to help us unify climate, ecology and water, to see how they are integrated, to see how underneath they are all part of one bigger thing.
Lovelock and Margullis’s Gaia theory, and Makarieva and Gorschkov’s Biotic Regulation theory are important steps in the right direction to unification. As an example, part of the Biotic Regulation research programme is to show that forests can also reduce large storms. This comes from the larger vision of the programme that forests and biota are able to control the earth’s water cycles, which would then mean they could lessen huge rains.
Einstein actually did not come up with the equations for special relativity first. That distinction went to Lorenz, and it is why the relativistic equations are called Lorenz equations. But Lorenz did not see the deeper paradigm of what these equations implied. He still thought in terms of classical Newtonian physics. Einstein came up with a way to understand experimental results in a whole new paradigm, where space and time were no longer fully distinct from each other. The new object of study would be a spacetime fabric that underlay everything. Depending on how fast you were traveling, time and space could morph into each other. With this profound reformulation of physics, many other implications for physics then naturally followed.
Atmospheric scientists, ecologists, and hydrologists have in some ways been seeing all these behaviors in the ‘classical physics’ sense. Their research studies results are like the parable of the blind people feeling the elephant, with one person feeling the trunk saying its like a hose, another feeling the ears and saying its like a fan. When science starts seeing the ‘elephant’ holistically, a lot of methods and frameworks in each of the respective discplines will give way to a more unifying methodology across disciplines. Currently we are still looking for the unification, the way to integrate these fields into one underlying spacetime fabric, into one underlying ecohydroclimate fabric, where biodiversity, water, and climate are three faces of the same fundamental process and field.
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[above book cover from Princeton University Press]
Appendix: excerpt from Berlin’s essay “The hedgehog and the fox”
“There is a line among the fragments of the Greek poet Archilochus which says: "The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing." Scholars have differed about the correct interpretation of these dark words, which may mean no more than that the fox, for all his cunning, is defeated by the hedgehog's one defense. But, taken figuratively, the words can be made to yield a sense in which they mark one of the deepest differences which divide writers and thinkers, and, it may be, human beings in general.
For there exists a great chasm between those, on one side, who relate everything to a single central vision, one system less or more coherent or articulate, in terms of which they understand, think, and feel—a single, universal, organizing principle in terms of which alone all that they are and say has significance—and, on the other side, those who pursue many ends, often unrelated and even contradictory, connected, if at all, only in some de facto way, for some psychological or physiological cause, related by no moral or aesthetic principle. These last lead lives, perform acts, and entertain ideas that are centrifugal rather than centripetal. Their thought is scattered or diffused, moving on many levels, seizing upon the essence of a vast variety of experiences and objects for what they are in themselves, without, consciously or unconsciously, seeking to fit them into, or exclude them from, any one unchanging, all-embracing, sometimes self-contradictory and incomplete, at times fanatical, unitary inner vision.
The first kind of intellectual and artistic personality belongs to the hedgehogs, the second to the foxes; and without insisting on a rigid classification, we may, without too much fear of contradiction, say that, in this sense, Dante belongs to the first category, Shakespeare to the second. Plato, Lucretius, Pascal, Hegel, Dostoevsky, Nietzsche, Ibsen, and Proust are, in varying degrees, hedgehogs. Herodotus, Aristotle, Montaigne, Erasmus, Molière, Goethe, Pushkin, Balzac, and Joyce are foxes.
Of course, like all oversimplified classifications of this type, the dichotomy becomes, if pressed, artificial, scholastic, and ultimately absurd. But if it is not an aid to serious criticism, neither should it be rejected as merely superficial or frivolous. Like all distinctions which embody any degree of truth, it offers a point of view from which to look and compare, a starting point for genuine investigation.
Thus, we have no doubt about the violence of the contrast between Pushkin and Dostoevsky. Dostoevsky's celebrated speech about Pushkin has, for all its eloquence and depth of feeling, seldom been considered by any perceptive reader to cast light on the genius of Pushkin, but rather on that of Dostoevsky himself. This is precisely because it perversely represents Pushkin—an arch-fox, the greatest in the nineteenth century—as a being similar to Dostoevsky, who is nothing if not a hedgehog. Dostoevsky thereby transforms, indeed distorts, Pushkin into a dedicated prophet, a bearer of a single, universal message which was indeed the center of Dostoevsky's own universe, but exceedingly remote from the many varied provinces of Pushkin's protean genius.
Indeed, it would not be absurd to say that Russian literature is spanned by these gigantic figures—at one pole Pushkin, at the other Dostoevsky—and that the characteristics of other Russian writers can, by those who find it useful or enjoyable to ask that kind of question, to some degree be determined in relation to these great opposites. To ask of Gogol, Turgenev, Chekhov, and Blok how they stand in relation to Pushkin and to Dostoevsky leads—or, at any rate, has led—to fruitful and illuminating criticism.”
ok simplicity seems to be hard to come by with the siloed scientists protecting the wholly grail of complexities around climate. What would it do to think of the planet as a being not unlike us humans and born with systems that maintain life and our, its longevity. So here is the one big thing.
If only the old scientific community would come down to Earth and follow the on the ground clues and evidence when it comes to climate .
There are very specific causes for human illness
We run a fever, well the planet is running a fever too, and it is not stopping. And why is it not cooling down even with all the mitigation practices over the last decades? Because we are not treating a significant forcing factor which does have something to do with Co2 sequestration but it is only one portion of the many planetary spheres that continue to be mis-diagnosed by the Science"experts". Maybe it's time to look at our planet with the same lense we look at human health.
Our Planet: Person or Living Entity?
It’s time to consider our Earth as a living, breathing being possessing systems that keep it running smoothly and in good health. We now have to face the fact that the temperature of the planet is increasing. and as in other living beings this signals that something is happening out of the “normal functioning range”.
Scientists and 75% of the population call this climate change.
We can also say the earth has a fever, and its not going down.
When we humans have a prolonged fever we see a doctor. We test our fluids, our breathing, our blood pressure and our blood for toxic and nutritional levels.
Our cardiovascular system - heart, arteries, veins and capillaries - supply us with nutrients, circulate oxygen from our lungs, and cleanse our kidneys and liver. In short, this system keeps us alive.
Earth, as a living, breathing being, has a similar cardiovascular system in play - a system that is not functioning within “normal range”.
In the Earth’s cardiovascular system, we can think of the oceans and atmosphere as its heart and lungs, large rivers its arteries, smaller rivers and streams, wetlands and bogs its veins and capillaries sending nutrients to its extremities.
Terrestrial ecosystem provide sustenance: nutrition, oxygen, and a home to living beings. Land is connected to the waterways providing food and life to aquatic species that travel, breed and participate in the lifecycle of the Earth. and those avenues of support are severely clogged, (similar to cardiovascular disease in humans) by large hydroelectric dams: mega-dams.
Mega-dams are creating clots in the world’s circulatory system, not only retaining water for electricity generation, and also prohibiting passage of the nutrients which the marine ecosystem needs to live and thrive.
The damming of rivers is one of mankind’s most significant modifications to the worlds cardiovascular system impacting the flow of water and associated materials from land to sea. Included in these nutrients are nutritional elements like nitrogen and phosphorus, required by all life on Earth, and silicon, which is required by diatoms, the plankton that account for the largest percentage of biological productivity in the oceans.
Diatoms in the oceans sequester more Co2 than all the rainforests of the planet
Prior to the mid 20th century many of the larger rivers had been functioning normally. Rivers have always been the main nutritional delivery system for the smallest microscopic living things in the oceans: diatoms (plankton), which feed the largest of marine mammals the Blue Whale.
The estuaries, bays, and Continental Shelf flood each spring and during stormy periods, feeding the earth with rich nutritional sediments from erosion. Through the late 1950s into the 1980s many of the major rivers and waterways that emptied into the Northern Hemisphere oceans had large dams constructed that obstructed the natural flows containing much of the nutritional requirements of marine life.
Dams and flow regulation on rivers weaken the force of these upwelling ocean currents so fewer nutrients are available. The marine food chain is very dependent on diatoms, and their populations are declining rapidly; the world’s ocean fisheries are also in decline.
Strict flow regimens caused by hydroelectric dams in the subarctic regions: Here many of the Northern Hemisphere's largest rivers used to exist but now 95% of the water stagnates in sea-size impoundments for 6 months of the summer and continues melting the permafrost. long hours in the sun has led to excessive humidity and added greater amounts of methane rich fresh water to these dam reservoirs, insuring a now much much larger volume of and now warmer water to be discharged all winter-long. This is not only warming these regions in the winter but sending this much larger volume and warmer fresh water into the bays and Arctic Ocean region. This is occurring with many of the former rivers from Siberia to labrador
Many other species, also important for carbon sequestration, are starving because of the nutrients withheld by river impoundments. NASA has indicated diatom populations are diminishing by about one percent per year. This equates to a significant increase in CO2 levels, because CO2 removal by diatoms is not occurring at the same rate before dams.
River obstruction and impoundment cuts off much of the nutrient flow to all marine life, stockpiling it behind dams, decomposing (emitting methane) and accelerating global warming. Clearly out of the historical normal range, the planet’s coronary arteries are now severely compromised.
Like cardiovascular disease in humans, deprivation of this ‘blood supply’ results in the starvation of aquatic life and with it the decline of livable terrestrial habitat.
Unfortunately the earth does not have a primary care physician who would recommend surgery to remove these blockages, freeing up the blood supply allowing the patient to recover. It is up to us, the tenants, to take the helm and choose not to invest in damming up its cardiovascular system.
We need to live with, not on, the earth and allow it to recover from our antiquated energy generation practices, which are doing what may be irreparable harm.
Divest from mega-dams. Remove the blockages that are continuing to damage our climate by preventing nutritional flow, thawing the permafrost and destroying habitats for all living things, land and sea.
Let’s allow the Earth to heal itself by freeing up the natural flow of river waters.
Still reading your essay, but there's a few things that arose from briefly skimming :
- 'The case for scientific transculturalism' ( https://nautil.us/the-case-for-scientific-transculturalism-589255/ -> https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2209196121 ) ( Brian J. Enquist , Christopher Kempes, Goeffrey West)- about integrating the three central different cultures of science "exactitude culture" along with what the researchers call “variance culture” (which focuses on taking stock of how particular things are different or similar) and “coarse-grained culture” (which tries to simplify matters with general principles governing how systems operate) - see also thread https://bsky.app/profile/bjenquist.bsky.social/post/3ks3bw75jpo2k . It's a bit different than 'reductionism' vs. 'holism' where both of those sit within one of the cultures if I recall correctly. (https://blog.andymatuschak.org/post/18851823748/top-to-bottom-bottom-to-top might be related)
- Nora bateson on the need for 'transcontextual' rather than 'transdisciplinary' - "transcontextual rather than interdiscianary or trnsdisciplinary, because life doesn't happen in disciplines it happens in contexts" - https://youtu.be/j44AVKgdORs?&t=897
- 'The cactus and the weasel' https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2014/02/20/the-cactus-and-the-weasel/ (Venkatesh Rao) - I probably don't agree with Venkat at times, but gets into the fox hedgehog thing around how strongly held things are:
#Hedgehog - strong views, weakly held"
"The hedgehog’s views are lightly held in the sense of being dependent on only a few core or axiomatic beliefs. Only a few key assumptions anchor the big idea. That is the whole point of seeking consistency of any sort: to reduce the number of unjustified beliefs in your thinking to the minimum necessary."
#Fox - weak views, strongly held
"The fox’s beliefs are strongly held because there is no center, little reliance on foundational beliefs and many anchors. Their thinking is hard to pin down to any one set of axioms, and therefore hard to undermine."